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How big is Iron Jaw?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–3k
from 74 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Iron Jaw and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Iron Jaw's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 163–228
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Iron Jaw

A typical game among these

≈ 163–228 copies

≈ $251–$629 after Steam's cut

from ~6 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 103k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Looter Shooter (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pixel Gun Master
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$478–$1k after Steam's cut $869–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Action RoguelikeLooter Shooter
Shadow Survival
2025
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Early AccessCo-op
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
58870x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Bullet Town
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$562 before Steam's cut
$4.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Rogue-likeWestern
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
5201x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Black Gunner Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
81x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$9.99
487 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
Toad On Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$123–$330 after Steam's cut $223–$507 before Steam's cut
$2.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Action RoguelikeLooter Shooter
Rip & Tear
2025
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$334–$898 after Steam's cut $608–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.90
10 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionCasual

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