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wishvane

How many copies did PAYDAY 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35.0M–56.9M
$96.2M–$258.7M after Steam's cut $174.9M–$398.0M before the cut
from 674k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left PAYDAY 2 out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including PAYDAY 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67.4M–86.9M
best case 664.3M (Counter-Strike 2)

All 6 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 67.4M–86.9M copies
≈ $420.1M–$708.2M after Steam's cut
from ~1.3M reviews
Best case
≈ 506.1M–822.5M copies
Counter-Strike 2
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (5 of 6) and Shooter (5 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action + Battle Royale + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2018, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 506.1M–822.5M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.7M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.0M–152.8M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.0M–68.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$462.1M–$1242.5M after Steam's cut $840.2M–$1911.5M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 71.1M–115.5M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 54.5M–88.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$149.6M–$402.3M after Steam's cut $272.1M–$618.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 64.6M–105.0M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.