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How many copies did ZERO Sievert sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 387k–628k
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ZERO Sievert and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ZERO Sievert's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–465k
best case 10.6M (Hunt: Showdown 1896)
Games like ZERO Sievert

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–465k copies

≈ $43k–$2.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hunt: Showdown 1896 at ≈ 8.0M–13.1M copies, ≈ $66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 172 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Extraction Shooter (6 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Extraction Shooter, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 281k–456k
10x vs typical
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VRExtraction Shooter
Hunt: Showdown 1896
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Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
256x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Open WorldExtraction Shooter
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Extraction ShooterSurvival
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Extraction ShooterBase-Building
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MultiplayerZombies

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.