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How many copies did CONVRGENCE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 46k–75k
$318k–$855k after Steam's cut $578k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CONVRGENCE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CONVRGENCE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 279k–500k
best case 4.7M (Soundpad)
Games like CONVRGENCE

A typical game among these

≈ 279k–500k copies

≈ $2.3M–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 254 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (5 of 8) and VR (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Audio Production + Music; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Into the Radius VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 281k–456k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
VRExtraction Shooter
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Steam Link
2015
Est. copies
≈ 360k–584k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Steam MachineSoftware
Fallout 4 VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 302k–490k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
9k reviews
Mixed
VROpen World
Race The Sun
2013
Est. copies
≈ 402k–653k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Procedural GenerationRunner
Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 759k–1.2M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSingleplayer
VR Kanojo / VRカノジョ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$823k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Into the Radius 2
2026
Est. copies
≈ 145k–236k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessVR

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