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How many copies did Race The Sun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 402k–653k
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Race The Sun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Race The Sun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–15k
best case 19k (Madrun)
Games like Race The Sun

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–15k copies

≈ $6k–$18k after Steam's cut

from ~186 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Madrun at ≈ 14k–23k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 384.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Runner (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + 2D Platformer.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unpossible
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$2.99
131 reviews
Very Positive
RacingFast-Paced
Jones On Fire
2015
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$2.99
241 reviews
Mixed
RunnerCats
Magical Girl Dash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$405–$1k after Steam's cut $737–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
60 reviews
Very Positive
Sunset Drive 1986
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
247 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRunner
Madrun
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
573 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRacing
Space Ribbon - Slipstream to the Extreme
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$3.99
103 reviews
Mixed
DrivingCombat Racing
SpermDash精疲力尽
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
104 reviews
Very Positive
CasualParkour
Switchcars
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$8.99
467 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.