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How many copies did Magical Girl Dash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$405–$1k after Steam's cut $737–$2k before Steam's cut
from 60 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magical Girl Dash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Girl Dash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 228–1k
best case 255k (BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien)
Games like Magical Girl Dash

A typical game among these

≈ 228–1k copies

≈ $295–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien at ≈ 195k–316k copies, ≈ $802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 41.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and Racing (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Indie + Music + Runner; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
123x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Up N' Down
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$3.99
91 reviews
Mostly Positive
Rain Runner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
38 reviews
Positive
ActionCasual
Deathrun Guys
2022
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$54–$145 after Steam's cut $98–$223 before Steam's cut
$0.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
RacingPvP
RUNDOM
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Early AccessAction
CD-RUN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 720–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
25 reviews
Positive
Fearless Rider
2022
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29 reviews
Mixed
ActionCasual
Ultimate Obstacle Course - Prologue
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$123–$330 after Steam's cut $223–$507 before Steam's cut
$2.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ActionParkour

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.