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How many copies did Rain Runner sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 942–2k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 38 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rain Runner and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rain Runner's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–48k
best case 343k (Gas Guzzlers Extreme)
Games like Rain Runner

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–48k copies

≈ $11k–$129k after Steam's cut

from ~277 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Gas Guzzlers Extreme at ≈ 261k–424k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 112 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 225.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and Racing (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Combat Racing + Vehicular Combat, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$7.99
238 reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
Super Block Crush
2023
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$633–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
31 reviews
Positive
CasualShooter
Gas Guzzlers Extreme
2013
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingVehicular Combat
Bike Rush
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.99
82 reviews
Mixed
RacingAction
City Zoomer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$7k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$4.99
191 reviews
Very Positive
Racing3D Platformer
Revolution Ace
2014
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$145k–$390k after Steam's cut $264k–$599k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction
Warstride Challenges
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut
$19.99
328 reviews
Very Positive
3DGore
Diesel Guns
2016
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$119k before Steam's cut
$7.99
316 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessVehicular Combat

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.