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How many copies did Warstride Challenges sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut
from 328 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warstride Challenges and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warstride Challenges's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.9M
best case 4.5M (Warhammer 40,000: Darktide)
Games like Warstride Challenges

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.9M copies

≈ $13.0M–$40.6M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Darktide at ≈ 3.5M–5.6M copies, ≈ $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Team-Based, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
DEVOUR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
PowerWash Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
59k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualRelaxing
Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
139k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorTeam-Based
Chivalry 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.4M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
59k reviews
Mostly Positive
SwordplayMedieval
Killing Floor
2009
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.4M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSZombies
Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.