How much revenue did Liar's Bar make?

$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Liar's Bar sell?

Q: How many copies did Liar's Bar sell?

1.4M to 2.3M copies, based on its 56k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.4M–2.3M; $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut; from 56k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Liar's Bar and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Liar's Bar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.3M

best case 4.1M (Buckshot Roulette)

Games like Liar's Bar

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–3.3M copies

≈ $21.3M–$44.1M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Buckshot Roulette at ≈ 3.1M–5.1M copies, ≈ $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 16k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (4 of 7) and Basketball (3 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dark + Gambling, priced around $3.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Buckshot Roulette 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$2.99	127k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerDark
Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version) 2010	Est. copies ≈ 612k–995k too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Card GameCasual
NBA 2K24 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	44k reviews Mostly Negative	SportsBasketball
NBA 2K22 2021	Est. copies ≈ 964k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	39k reviews Mixed	SportsBasketball
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut $49.7M–$113.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	100k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerShooter
NBA 2K25 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.1M after Steam's cut $37.3M–$84.8M before Steam's cut	$69.99	43k reviews Mixed	SportsBasketball
Judgment 2022	Est. copies ≈ 304k–494k too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	12k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure