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How many copies did Buckshot Roulette sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
from 127k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Buckshot Roulette and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Buckshot Roulette's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–26k
best case 1.8M (Liar's Bar)
Games like Buckshot Roulette

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–26k copies

≈ $7k–$43k after Steam's cut

from ~146 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Liar's Bar at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 75 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 12k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark (6 of 8) and Gambling (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Gambling, priced around $7.
When they shipped
7 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Only False
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
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Get Me Out, Please
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$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
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HorrorAction
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$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
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Bonesaw
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Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
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DarkStrategy
Buckshot With Friends
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
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MultiplayerDark
Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
386x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
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MultiplayerCasual
FINAL SPIN
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Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
1.8x vs typical
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Nine-Ball Roulette
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Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
17x vs typical
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MultiplayerPool

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