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How many copies did Bonesaw sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 192 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bonesaw and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bonesaw's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–2.5M
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Bonesaw

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–2.5M copies

≈ $6.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark + Gambling, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$2.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Ultimate Custom Night
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
63k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHorror
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.