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How many copies did Steam Link sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 360k–584k
from 7k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Steam Link and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Steam Link's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 121k–1.8M
best case 4.7M (Soundpad)
Games like Steam Link

A typical game among these

≈ 121k–1.8M copies

≈ $694k–$5.5M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 362 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software (7 of 8) and Utilities (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Crosshair X
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
VEGAS Pro 14 Edit Steam Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Video ProductionSoftware
HudSight - crosshair overlay
2021
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$314k–$844k after Steam's cut $571k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$7.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
UtilitiesVideo Production
CPUCores :: Maximize Your FPS
2015
Est. copies
≈ 557k–905k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$16.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
UtilitiesSoftware
GameGuru Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$563k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Game DevelopmentSoftware
Oblivity - Find your perfect Sensitivity
2022
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$439k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSimulation

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