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How many copies did HudSight - crosshair overlay sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 143k–232k
$314k–$844k after Steam's cut $571k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HudSight - crosshair overlay and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HudSight - crosshair overlay's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 544k–2.6M
best case 5.9M (Blender)
Games like HudSight - crosshair overlay

A typical game among these

≈ 544k–2.6M copies

≈ $5.9M–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blender at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 47 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software (8 of 8) and Video Production (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Animation & Modeling + Software.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Action! - Gameplay Recording and Streaming
2014
Est. copies
≈ 418k–679k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Video ProductionAudio Production
Blender
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Animation & ModelingSoftware
Crosshair X
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
FaceRig
2015
Est. copies
≈ 405k–658k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Animation & ModelingFunny
CyberLink PowerDirector 15 Ultra
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44 reviews
Mostly Positive
Video ProductionUtilities
DeskScapes
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$3.99
65 reviews
Mixed
UtilitiesDesign & Illustration
CyberLink PowerDirector 15 Ultimate
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
36 reviews
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UtilitiesAudio Production
Alley Chat Bot
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionFree to Play

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