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How many copies did FaceRig sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 405k–658k
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FaceRig and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FaceRig's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 635–7k
best case 5.9M (Blender)
Games like FaceRig

A typical game among these

≈ 635–7k copies

≈ $2k–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~70 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blender at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 47.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Video Production (8 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Animation & Modeling + Video Production. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Difficult + Animation & Modeling; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Source Filmmaker
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
630x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Very Positive
Animation & ModelingFree to Play
Blender
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
1316x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Animation & ModelingSoftware
VEGAS Pro 14 Edit Steam Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Video ProductionSoftware
Clip maker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
242 reviews
Very Positive
Animation & ModelingVideo Production
Love Too Easily
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
$21.99
107 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationChoose Your Own Adventure
YTP Generator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
33 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieUtilities
Truth
2023
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$12.99
15 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
연오와 세오
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$24.99
13 reviews
Mostly Negative
SimulationVideo Production

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.