How many copies did Source Filmmaker sell?

2.8M to 4.5M copies, based on its 44k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Source Filmmaker make?

Source Filmmaker is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Source Filmmaker?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 2.8M–4.5M; from 44k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Source Filmmaker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Source Filmmaker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 221k–870k

best case 5.9M (Blender)

Games like Source Filmmaker

A typical game among these

≈ 221k–870k copies

≈ $7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Blender at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Software (6 of 8) and Animation & Modeling (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Animation & Modeling + Software.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pool 2D - Poolians 2019	Est. copies ≈ 297k–483k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayPool
Blender 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Animation & ModelingSoftware
FaceRig 2015	Est. copies ≈ 405k–658k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Very Positive	Animation & ModelingFunny
Animaze by FaceRig 2021	Est. copies ≈ 94k–153k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Mixed	Animation & ModelingVideo Production
ShareX 2015	Est. copies ≈ 415k–674k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Photo EditingUtilities
VTube Studio 2021	Est. copies ≈ 183k–297k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Very Positive	IndieMature
Fuse 2014	Est. copies ≈ 126k–205k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mixed	Animation & ModelingCharacter Customization
FlatOut 2 2006	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$16.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingCombat Racing