How many copies did VTube Studio sell?

183k to 297k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did VTube Studio make?

VTube Studio is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is VTube Studio?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 183k–297k; from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VTube Studio and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VTube Studio's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–4.7M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like VTube Studio

A typical game among these

≈ 3.7M–4.7M copies

≈ $4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (5 of 8) and Mature (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Design & Illustration + Animation & Modeling + Utilities; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Clicker Heroes 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	62k reviews Very Positive	ClickerIdler
Outlast 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	65k reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Everlasting Summer 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity