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How big is Everlasting Summer?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
from 78k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Everlasting Summer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Everlasting Summer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30.0M–40.1M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Everlasting Summer

A typical game among these

≈ 30.0M–40.1M copies

≈ $671.6M–$888.5M after Steam's cut

from ~923k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 297k reviews in their first month; the range was 165k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World

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