How much revenue did Red Dead Redemption 2 make?

$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Red Dead Redemption 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Red Dead Redemption 2 sell?

26.6M to 43.2M copies, based on its 923k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 26.6M–43.2M; $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut; from 923k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Red Dead Redemption 2 and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Dead Redemption 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 564k–3.0M

best case 21.7M (Fallout: New Vegas)

Games like Red Dead Redemption 2

A typical game among these

≈ 564k–3.0M copies

≈ $2.3M–$19.4M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout: New Vegas at ≈ 16.6M–26.9M copies, ≈ $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Western (6 of 7) and Open World (4 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Red Dead Redemption 2024	Est. copies ≈ 543k–883k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldWestern
Red Dead Online 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	69k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldMultiplayer
Call of Juarez: Bound in Blood 2009	Est. copies ≈ 324k–526k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $889k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	WesternAction
12 is Better Than 6 2015	Est. copies ≈ 504k–820k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ActionShooter
West of Loathing 2017	Est. copies ≈ 355k–577k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$10.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGComedy
Call of Juarez: Gunslinger 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	44k reviews Very Positive	WesternFPS