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How many copies did West of Loathing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 355k–577k
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid West of Loathing and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including West of Loathing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13.4M–21.4M
best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)
Games like West of Loathing

A typical game among these

≈ 13.4M–21.4M copies

≈ $139.8M–$387.3M after Steam's cut

from ~291k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Building (1 of 3), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (1 of 3) and City Builder (1 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2016. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 52 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Just Cause™ 3
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.