How much revenue did DARK SOULS™ III make?

$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did DARK SOULS™ III sell?

Q: How many copies did DARK SOULS™ III sell?

18.3M to 29.8M copies, based on its 441k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 18.3M–29.8M; $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut; from 441k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DARK SOULS™ III and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DARK SOULS™ III's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.2M–28.6M

best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)

Games like DARK SOULS™ III

A typical game among these

≈ 8.2M–28.6M copies

≈ $93.8M–$452.7M after Steam's cut

from ~270k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Souls-like (7 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10.3M–16.7M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	357k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Souls-likeDifficult
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.7M–46.6M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	133k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	156k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy