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How many copies did Dead Cells sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
from 184k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Cells and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Cells's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 226k–1.3M
best case 1.9M (Skul: The Hero Slayer)
Games like Dead Cells

A typical game among these

≈ 226k–1.3M copies

≈ $1.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Skul: The Hero Slayer at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 975 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rogue Legacy
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaPlatformer
Vagante
2018
Est. copies
≈ 153k–249k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$631k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Rogue Legacy 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeMetroidvania
Sundered®: Eldritch Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaMetroidvania
Dungreed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 292k–474k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Exit the Gungeon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 93k–152k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
ArcadeAction
BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure

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