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How many copies did Rogue Legacy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rogue Legacy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rogue Legacy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 113k–668k
best case 7.3M (Dead Cells)
Games like Rogue Legacy

A typical game among these

≈ 113k–668k copies

≈ $672k–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead Cells at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Metroidvania, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Touhou Endless Dream
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAnime
Rogue Legacy 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeMetroidvania
Sundered®: Eldritch Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaMetroidvania
Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
184k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
Vagante
2018
Est. copies
≈ 153k–249k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$631k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Ghost 1.0
2016
Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaIndie
ScourgeBringer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 81k–132k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $692k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$16.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction

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