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How many copies did BlazBlue Entropy Effect sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 908k–1.5M
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BlazBlue Entropy Effect and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BlazBlue Entropy Effect's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 665k–2.1M
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like BlazBlue Entropy Effect

A typical game among these

≈ 665k–2.1M copies

≈ $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 769 to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Neon Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 586k–952k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut
$31.49
24k reviews
Very Positive
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRogue-like
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsRogue-like
Chronicon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 241k–392k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$928k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$13.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
LootAction RPG
暖雪 Warm Snow
2022
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$17.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Tiny Rogues
2022
Est. copies
≈ 267k–435k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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