How much revenue did 暖雪 Warm Snow make?

$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 暖雪 Warm Snow sell?

Q: How many copies did 暖雪 Warm Snow sell?

971k to 1.6M copies, based on its 39k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 971k–1.6M; $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut; from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 暖雪 Warm Snow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 暖雪 Warm Snow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64k–99k

best case 1.3M (嗜血印 Bloody Spell)

Games like 暖雪 Warm Snow

A typical game among these

≈ 64k–99k copies

≈ $235k–$626k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 嗜血印 Bloody Spell at ≈ 976k–1.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 825 to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Nudity + Sexual Content, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Nudity + Sexual Content + 3D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
UNDYING - "KINGDOM" 2023	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $258k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Story RichMultiple Endings
We Are The Dwarves 2016	Est. copies ≈ 67k–109k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $276k–$742k after Steam's cut $502k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mixed	IndieAdventure
嗜血印 Bloody Spell 2022	Est. copies ≈ 976k–1.6M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	39k reviews Very Positive	NuditySexual Content
Realm of Ink 2026	Est. copies ≈ 142k–231k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Early Access2D
WARRIORS: Abyss 2025	Est. copies ≈ 59k–95k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $402k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $731k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionMusou
Mirror of Heaven 2024	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $70k–$187k after Steam's cut $127k–$288k before Steam's cut	$9.25	1k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Karate Survivor 2024	Est. copies ≈ 84k–137k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $116k–$311k after Steam's cut $210k–$479k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FightingCasual
Cultivation Story: Reincarnation 2023	Est. copies ≈ 51k–82k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $139k–$374k after Steam's cut $253k–$575k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RPGAction Roguelike