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How many copies did 嗜血印 Bloody Spell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 976k–1.6M
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 嗜血印 Bloody Spell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 嗜血印 Bloody Spell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–5.4M
best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)
Games like 嗜血印 Bloody Spell

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–5.4M copies

≈ $10.4M–$41.8M after Steam's cut

from ~90k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 39k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (5 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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MusicRhythm
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
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≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.4x vs typical
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Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
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≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut
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2018
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≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
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Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
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Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
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≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$27.7M–$74.3M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.4M before Steam's cut
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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Mixed
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