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How many copies did CONTROL Ultimate Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
$17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut
from 65k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CONTROL Ultimate Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CONTROL Ultimate Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 362k–1.6M
best case 3.7M (Dishonored 2)
Games like CONTROL Ultimate Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 362k–1.6M copies

≈ $4.8M–$10.7M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dishonored 2 at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 660 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + First-Person, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fahrenheit: Indigo Prophecy Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 435k–707k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichQuick-Time Events
Alice: Madness Returns
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFemale Protagonist
Life is Strange: True Colors
2021
Est. copies
≈ 419k–681k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines
2007
Est. copies
≈ 973k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
RPGVampire
Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person
Life is Strange: Double Exposure
2024
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
11k reviews
Mixed
Choices MatterLGBTQ+
Crow Country
2024
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Survival HorrorExploration
Life is Strange Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 279k–453k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich

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