How much revenue did Alice: Madness Returns make?

$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Alice: Madness Returns sell?

Q: How many copies did Alice: Madness Returns sell?

2.0M to 3.2M copies, based on its 31k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.0M–3.2M; $5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut; from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alice: Madness Returns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alice: Madness Returns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 823k–1.4M

best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)

Games like Alice: Madness Returns

A typical game among these

≈ 823k–1.4M copies

≈ $8.7M–$11.3M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dark Fantasy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dark Fantasy (3 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Third Person + Souls-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericPsychological
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 574k–933k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationCrime
Dungeons 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 644k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyVillain Protagonist
A Plague Tale: Innocence 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut $42.0M–$95.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	73k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	133k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Fran Bow 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Warhammer: End Times - Vermintide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.6M–$23.2M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	21k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionOnline Co-Op