How much revenue did Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice make?

$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice sell?

Q: How many copies did Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice sell?

2.6M to 4.3M copies, based on its 77k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.6M–4.3M; $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut; from 77k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–4.7M

best case 4.7M (Soundpad)

Games like Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–4.7M copies

≈ $12.3M–$48.9M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Psychological (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
This War of Mine 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	98k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalWar
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
The Stanley Parable 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ComedyNarration
Sally Face - Episode One 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Psychological Horror
DREDGE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	57k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationFishing
Spec Ops: The Line 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	56k reviews Very Positive	Story RichThird-Person Shooter
SILENT HILL 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut	$69.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Psychological Horror Horror
Mouthwashing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$12.99	0 reviews No user reviews	Psychological Horror Story Rich