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wishvane

How many copies did DREDGE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
$9.2M–$24.7M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$38.0M before the cut
from 56k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left DREDGE out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including DREDGE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–8.1M
best case 17.5M (Valheim)
The Exploration genre

All 4 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 3.0M–8.1M copies
≈ $32.0M–$62.8M after Steam's cut
from ~105k reviews
Best case
≈ 13.3M–21.7M copies
Valheim · ≈ $73.4M–$197.2M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (3 of 4) and Story Rich (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.8M–$40.6M before the cut
$19.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$20.9M–$56.3M after Steam's cut $38.1M–$86.6M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Valheim
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$73.4M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.4M–$303.4M before the cut
$19.99
538k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.9M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.2M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.