How much revenue did DREDGE make?

$15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did DREDGE sell?

Q: How many copies did DREDGE sell?

1.4M to 2.3M copies, based on its 57k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.4M–2.3M; $15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut; from 57k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DREDGE and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including DREDGE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–8.6M

best case 18.3M (Valheim)

Games like DREDGE

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–8.6M copies

≈ $34.2M–$83.7M after Steam's cut

from ~108k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Valheim at ≈ 13.9M–22.6M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (3 of 4) and Story Rich (2 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Valheim 2026	Est. copies ≈ 13.9M–22.6M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	562k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror