How much revenue did DAVE THE DIVER make?

$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did DAVE THE DIVER sell?

Q: How many copies did DAVE THE DIVER sell?

4.0M to 6.6M copies, based on its 163k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.0M–6.6M; $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut; from 163k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DAVE THE DIVER and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DAVE THE DIVER's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 711k–1.3M

best case 7.7M (Factorio)

Games like DAVE THE DIVER

A typical game among these

≈ 711k–1.3M copies

≈ $9.3M–$13.1M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Clicker (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Factorio at ≈ 5.9M–9.5M copies, ≈ $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Clicker (3 of 8) and Idler (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Automation + Crafting + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Children of Morta 2019	Est. copies ≈ 674k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$21.99	23k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerRogue-like
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Cookie Clicker 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	93k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ClickerIdler
Mr.Mine 2020	Est. copies ≈ 463k–752k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	19k reviews Very Positive	IdlerClicker
Kingdom: Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	23k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
IdleOn - The Incremental MMO 2025	Est. copies ≈ 741k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	30k reviews Mostly Positive	IdlerPixel Graphics
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim