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How many copies did Children of Morta sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 674k–1.1M
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
from 23k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Children of Morta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Children of Morta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–3.7M
best case 5.3M (DAVE THE DIVER)
Games like Children of Morta

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–3.7M copies

≈ $9.6M–$13.6M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DAVE THE DIVER at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 43k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 8) and Rogue-like (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Management + Relaxing + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 983k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RobotsAction
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
48k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG

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