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How big is IdleOn - The Incremental MMO?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 741k–1.2M
from 30k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IdleOn - The Incremental MMO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IdleOn - The Incremental MMO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 333k–876k
best case 862k (Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game)
Games like IdleOn - The Incremental MMO

A typical game among these

≈ 333k–876k copies

≈ $458k after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game at ≈ 657k–1.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 114 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (7 of 8) and Idler (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soda Dungeon
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≈ 218k–355k
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Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
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SimulationIndie
Sakura Clicker
2015
Est. copies
≈ 698k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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14k reviews
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NudityFree to Play
Mr.Mine
2020
Est. copies
≈ 463k–752k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
19k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker
Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 657k–1.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker
PickCrafter
2017
Est. copies
≈ 246k–400k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
MiningIdler
Idle Slayer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 270k–439k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
CasualIdler
Realm Grinder
2017
Est. copies
≈ 256k–416k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayClicker

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