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How big is Soda Dungeon?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 218k–355k
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Soda Dungeon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Soda Dungeon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 340k–784k
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Soda Dungeon

A typical game among these

≈ 340k–784k copies

≈ $3.0M–$11.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (5 of 8) and Idler (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Combat + Difficult + Dark Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Mostly Positive
Soda Dungeon 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 141k–229k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIdler
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Dragon Cliff
2018
Est. copies
≈ 249k–405k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$685k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms
2020
Est. copies
≈ 374k–607k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
HyperLeague Heroes
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
50 reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerRPG
Book of Demons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive

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