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How many copies did Mouthwashing sell?

Too new to estimate
Games in its genre sell ≈ 2.0M–2.9M That is the genre's figure, not a prediction for this game.
No reviews yet, so there is nothing to estimate from. That is not the same as selling nothing.
Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mouthwashing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mouthwashing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–2.9M
best case 4.6M (MiSide)
Games like Mouthwashing

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–2.9M copies

≈ $20.4M–$22.7M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: MiSide at ≈ 3.5M–5.8M copies, ≈ $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Cute + Sexual Content + 3D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
The Evil Within 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Outlast 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
SILENT HILL 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Evil Within
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$7.99
83k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.