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How many copies did Amnesia: The Dark Descent sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Amnesia: The Dark Descent and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Amnesia: The Dark Descent's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.7M–11.5M
best case 51.1M (Dead by Daylight)
Games like Amnesia: The Dark Descent

A typical game among these

≈ 9.7M–11.5M copies

≈ $58.1M–$136.3M after Steam's cut

from ~279k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead by Daylight at ≈ 39.0M–63.3M copies, ≈ $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Gore (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Team-Based + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
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937k reviews
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≈ 8.8M–14.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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≈ 9.2M–15.0M
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≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
158k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration

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