How much revenue did Outlast make?

$36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Outlast sell?

Q: How many copies did Outlast sell?

8.8M to 14.4M copies, based on its 140k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8.8M–14.4M; $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut; from 140k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outlast and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Outlast's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.0M–36.1M

best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)

Games like Outlast

A typical game among these

≈ 14.0M–36.1M copies

≈ $162.4M–$345.2M after Steam's cut

from ~425k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (4 of 4) and Open World (3 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	321k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Left 4 Dead 2 2009	Est. copies ≈ 67.0M–108.9M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.1M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesCo-op
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World