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How many copies did People Playground sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
from 321k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid People Playground and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including People Playground's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–3.6M
best case 7.4M (Battlefield™ 1)
Games like People Playground

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–3.6M copies

≈ $16.0M–$25.2M after Steam's cut

from ~62k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Battlefield™ 1 at ≈ 5.7M–9.2M copies, ≈ $62.3M–$167.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 58k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Automobile Sim, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Open World + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
204k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
205k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Ravenfield
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
80k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSWar
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
Battlefield™ 1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$62.3M–$167.4M after Steam's cut $113.2M–$257.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
228k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay

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