How much revenue did This War of Mine make?

$30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did This War of Mine sell?

Q: How many copies did This War of Mine sell?

5.5M to 8.9M copies, based on its 98k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5.5M–8.9M; $30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.6M before Steam's cut; from 98k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid This War of Mine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including This War of Mine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–10.0M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like This War of Mine

A typical game among these

≈ 3.8M–10.0M copies

≈ $42.9M–$78.2M after Steam's cut

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2004 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.8M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	244k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryRealistic
Counter-Strike: Source 2004	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.9M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	193k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ShooterFPS
Mad Max 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	91k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldVehicular Combat
Northgard: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut	$34.99	69k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Call of Duty®: Black Ops II 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	49k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerAction
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production