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How many copies did Mad Max sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
from 91k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mad Max and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mad Max's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30k–313k
best case 3.2M (Crossout)
Games like Mad Max

A typical game among these

≈ 30k–313k copies

≈ $235k–$543k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crossout at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 520 reviews in their first month; the range was 25 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (6 of 8) and Vehicular Combat (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third Person + Gun Customization.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crossout
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
Third PersonGun Customization
RAGE 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 492k–799k
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Mixed
ActionFPS
Insect Swarm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FlightShooter
Hard Truck Apocalypse / Ex Machina
2014
Est. copies
≈ 154k–251k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticAutomobile Sim
Alien Dawn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$13.99
101 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCo-op
METAL MAX Xeno Reborn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$127k–$342k after Steam's cut $231k–$526k before Steam's cut
$39.99
466 reviews
Mixed
DogJRPG
Badlands Crew - Drive, Command, Conquer
2025
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $291k–$663k before Steam's cut
$18.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyVehicular Combat
Darkwind
2014
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
479 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsVehicular Combat

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.