How many copies did Darkwind sell?

27k to 44k copies, based on its 479 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Darkwind make?

Darkwind is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Darkwind?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 27k–44k; from 479 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Darkwind and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darkwind's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–6.3M

best case 65.2M (War Thunder)

Games like Darkwind

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–6.3M copies

≈ $30.2M–$67.7M after Steam's cut

from ~79k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 31k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (2 of 8) and Sandbox (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Combat + World War II + Flight; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M 9.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut $49.7M–$113.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	100k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerShooter
Besiege 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationSandbox
World of Tanks Blitz 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.4M–10.4M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	153k reviews Mostly Positive	TanksFree to Play
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	88k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
Crossout 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	70k reviews Mostly Positive	Third PersonGun Customization
Code Rivals: Robot Programming Battle 2023	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$5.99	32 reviews Positive	Puzzle Automation