How much revenue did Alien Dawn make?

$10k–$26k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Alien Dawn sell?

Q: How many copies did Alien Dawn sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 101 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut; from 101 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alien Dawn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alien Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.9M

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like Alien Dawn

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.9M copies

≈ $24.5M–$39.6M after Steam's cut

from ~77k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the range was 18k to 114k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Horror + Psychological Horror + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rec Room 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	84k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
Escape the Backrooms 2025	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	167k reviews Very Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Golf With Your Friends 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	76k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
PowerWash Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	59k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CasualRelaxing
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Tabletop Simulator 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	TabletopBoard Game
Fishing Planet 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	FishingFree to Play