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How many copies did CarX Drift Racing Online sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
from 89k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CarX Drift Racing Online and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including CarX Drift Racing Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–9.7M
best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like CarX Drift Racing Online

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–9.7M copies

≈ $19.8M–$98.8M after Steam's cut

from ~90k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automobile Sim (3 of 4) and Driving (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Scrap Mechanic
2026
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$28.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
MudRunner
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
OffroadSimulation
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
SnowRunner
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.