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How many copies did MudRunner sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
from 44k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MudRunner and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MudRunner's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 679k–734k
best case 1.8M (DiRT Rally 2.0)
Games like MudRunner

A typical game among these

≈ 679k–734k copies

≈ $4.3M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DiRT Rally 2.0 at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Automobile Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Simulation, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry VR + Simulation + Offroad; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Naval Action
2019
Est. copies
≈ 428k–695k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mixed
SailingNaval Combat
The Crew™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 957k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Mixed
RacingOpen World
DiRT 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 559k–909k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship
2017
Est. copies
≈ 544k–884k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
MX Bikes
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.8M–$42.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
MotocrossMotorbike
Mon Bazou
2025
Est. copies
≈ 517k–840k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$15.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAutomobile Sim
DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.