How much revenue did MX Bikes make?

$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MX Bikes sell?

Q: How many copies did MX Bikes sell?

1.1M to 1.7M copies, based on its 37k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.7M; $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.8M–$42.9M before Steam's cut; from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MX Bikes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MX Bikes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–68k

best case 177k (MX vs ATV Legends)

Games like MX Bikes

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–68k copies

≈ $427k–$472k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: MX vs ATV Legends at ≈ 135k–219k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 462 reviews in their first month; the range was 190 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Sports, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
MXGP - The Official Motocross Videogame 2014	Est. copies ≈ 92k–150k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $253k–$681k after Steam's cut $461k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
MXGP 2019 - The Official Motocross Videogame 2019	Est. copies ≈ 37k–61k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $256k–$688k after Steam's cut $465k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationRacing
Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 3 2020	Est. copies ≈ 34k–55k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $231k–$622k after Steam's cut $421k–$957k before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SportsRacing
MXGP PRO 2018	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$940k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationRacing
Sledders 2025	Est. copies ≈ 121k–197k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	MotocrossSimulation
MX vs. ATV Reflex 2010	Est. copies ≈ 256k–416k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	RacingMotocross
MX vs ATV All Out 2018	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $570k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
MX vs ATV Legends 2022	Est. copies ≈ 135k–219k 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports