How much revenue did MX vs. ATV Reflex make?

$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MX vs. ATV Reflex sell?

Q: How many copies did MX vs. ATV Reflex sell?

256k to 416k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 256k–416k; $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MX vs. ATV Reflex and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MX vs. ATV Reflex's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64k–140k

best case 1.4M (MX Bikes)

Games like MX vs. ATV Reflex

A typical game among these

≈ 64k–140k copies

≈ $462k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: MX Bikes at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 462 reviews in their first month; the range was 84 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Motocross (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Motocross + Motorbike, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry VR + Realistic + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
MXGP PRO 2018	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$940k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationRacing
Sledders 2025	Est. copies ≈ 121k–197k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	MotocrossSimulation
MX vs ATV Legends 2022	Est. copies ≈ 135k–219k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
MX vs ATV All Out 2018	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $570k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
MXGP - The Official Motocross Videogame 2014	Est. copies ≈ 92k–150k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $253k–$681k after Steam's cut $461k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
MX Bikes 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 22x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.8M–$42.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Very Positive	MotocrossMotorbike
TrackDayR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 58k–93k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $395k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $719k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MotocrossBikes
MXGP3 - The Official Motocross Videogame 2017	Est. copies ≈ 45k–73k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $248k–$666k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation