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How many copies did Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–55k
$231k–$622k after Steam's cut $421k–$957k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 805k–1.6M
best case 12.8M (Assetto Corsa)
Games like Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame 3

A typical game among these

≈ 805k–1.6M copies

≈ $8.1M–$17.7M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assetto Corsa at ≈ 9.8M–15.9M copies, ≈ $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry VR + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Project CARS 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Motorsport Manager
2016
Est. copies
≈ 592k–962k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementRacing
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Descenders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 694k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsRacing
DiRT 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 559k–909k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.