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How many copies did F1® 2020 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 990k–1.6M
from 40k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid F1® 2020 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including F1® 2020's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–9.4M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like F1® 2020

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–9.4M copies

≈ $27.0M–$85.9M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation

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