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How many copies did Rec Room sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
from 84k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rec Room and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rec Room's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.7M–13.4M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Rec Room

A typical game among these

≈ 4.7M–13.4M copies

≈ $26.5M–$99.2M after Steam's cut

from ~222k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Racing (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Assetto Corsa
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≈ 9.8M–15.9M
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RacingAutomobile Sim
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2017
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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UtilitiesAudio Production
Subnautica
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Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Open World Survival CraftSurvival
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CarX Drift Racing Online
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≈ 3.1M–5.0M
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RacingPhysics
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
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786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation

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