How many copies did VRChat sell?

9.3M to 15.1M copies, based on its 269k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did VRChat make?

VRChat is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is VRChat?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 9.3M–15.1M; from 269k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VRChat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VRChat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–13.4M

best case 65.2M (War Thunder)

Games like VRChat

A typical game among these

≈ 4.4M–13.4M copies

≈ $26.5M–$99.2M after Steam's cut

from ~143k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Racing (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Forza Horizon 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
House Flipper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	112k reviews Very Positive	SimulationDesign & Illustration
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics