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How many copies did Insect Swarm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 67k–108k
$128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Insect Swarm and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Insect Swarm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–39k
best case 125k (Sky Force Reloaded)
Games like Insect Swarm

A typical game among these

≈ 23k–39k copies

≈ $72k–$148k after Steam's cut

from ~618 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Sky Force Reloaded at ≈ 96k–155k copies, ≈ $263k–$706k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 91 reviews in their first month; the range was 62 to 379.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (7 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shoot 'Em Up + Arcade, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Local Co-Op + Top-Down Shooter + Top-Down; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crimzon Clover World EXplosion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$54k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$222k before Steam's cut
$19.99
393 reviews
Very Positive
ActionShoot 'Em Up
Sky Force Reloaded
2017
Est. copies
≈ 96k–155k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$263k–$706k after Steam's cut $477k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpArcade
DEVIL BLADE REBOOT
2024
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $168k–$382k before Steam's cut
$15.99
847 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpShooter
Furious Angels
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$4.99
412 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Ring Runner: Flight of the Sages
2013
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$71k–$192k after Steam's cut $130k–$295k before Steam's cut
$4.99
823 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Raptor: Call of The Shadows - 2015 Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$2.99
618 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
QP Shooting - Dangerous!!
2014
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$263k before Steam's cut
$7.99
517 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Project Gunship
2022
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$89k–$239k after Steam's cut $161k–$367k before Steam's cut
$14.99
868 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSingleplayer

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